Video: Sizzling Summer Will Be Light on Hurricanes, Heavy on Heat and El Niño
This means potential good luck for hurricane season, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) said on May 22.
“El Niño causes stronger wind shear, which reduces the number and intensity of tropical storms and hurricanes,” NOAA said in a statement. “El Niño can also strengthen the trade winds and increase the atmospheric stability across the tropical Atlantic, making it more difficult for cloud systems coming off of Africa to intensify into tropical storms.”
What this means is “a 50 percent chance of a below-normal season, a 40 percent chance of a near-normal season, and only a 10 percent chance of an above-normal season,” NOAA said.
The sweltering summer, though, will stand in sharp contrast to the frigid winter that much of Turtle Island endured, and which was also predicted by the Old Farmer’s Almanac.
“For example, Washington D.C. had 32 inches of snowfall throughout the season, ranking it as one of snowiest since records began in 1888. It was the winter that felt like it would never end!” the Almanac said by way of example. “For summer, we predict that Washington D.C. will be hit with red-hot heat in the beginning of June—before summer even officially begins!”
And it will only go uphill, temperature-wise, with an “unrelenting” rise in mercury during July and August, the Almanac said. The forecasters also predicted above-average rainfall.
“Combined with the heat, the nation’s capital will seem downright tropical,” the Almanac said, adding that we are not completely off the hook when it comes to powerful storms. “As summer winds down, a hurricane is predicted to hit the Atlantic Corridor in early- to mid-September, providing one last punch.”
Here, an explanation of the developing El Niño phenomenon.
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